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External
and Internal Debts of the Newly Independents States: "Our
assumption that the old debt was settled is usually based on the factT Following
the breakdown of the Soviet Union, the Newly Independent States,
formally pursuing policies of market-oriented reforms, have faced
serious problems related to disintegration of the former economic
institutions with a chaotic formation of the new ones. The last decade
was marked by crises of varying degrees and durations experienced by
the national economies. Their expectations of help from multilateral
financial organizations and some donor countries can be viewed as a
natural attempt to find a way out of the crises. Under
pressure and control of multilateral financial organizations (dominated
by the IMF and World Bank), the NIS have undertaken traditional market
reforms, including financial stabilization; corporatization and
privatization; liberalization of prices; liberalization of foreign
economic activity; securing convertibility of national currency; etc. Supporting
actions of the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and a
number of other multilateral financial organizations and donor
countries has resulted in a temporary stabilization of the national
budgets and currencies and has helped mitigate the inflation processes.
However, the practical implementation of the market reforms has been
inadequate in terms of addressing the local realities such as the
national political systems, existing economic environments, legal
frameworks, attitudes and mentalities of the communities, etc.
Developers of the reforms have also failed to support them by clear
assessments of the time frames needed for the anticipated changes and
effective implementation mechanisms, as well as have completely
ignored social aspects of the reforms. Moreover, the loans have quite
often been used for non-eligible purposes. As a result, the foreign
financial support has been not as effective in controlling the
inflation potential than in contributing to the instability of the
national budgets and local currencies. It
became clear in the mid-90ies that the market reforms were associated
with certain social costs, including growing unemployment
rates, persistent decline of real residential incomes, shrinking
volumes and contents of the consumer baskets, sagging quality and
range of the free social benefits, increasing gender inequality on the
labour markets, growing inequality of incomes associated with social
tension in the communities, etc. As
things now stand, one of the most notable negative outcomes of this
active foreign borrowing-and-investment policy is that most of the NIS
has developed "perpetually indebted" economies that are
largely dependent on regular foreign financial injections needed in
growing volumes. In view of the inefficient financial management of
the foreign loans, the debt repayment is becoming increasingly
difficult, as it requires more and more allocations from the national
budgets. ·
Export
potentials of the most NIS economies are inadequate to secure debt
repayment on a scheduled basis, whereas the debt service has become
a heavy burden for the national budgets. ·
According
to expert evaluations, foreign debts of Tadzhikistan and
Turkmenistan have exceeded their GDPs. ·
Foreign
debts of Azerbaidzhan, Kyrgyzstan and Armenia have surpassed the
critical levels. ·
At the
beginning of 2001, the foreign governmental debt of Russia has
reached as much as USD144.5 billion that means USD1050 per capita. ·
Foreign
debt of Moldova tends to grow rapidly: in 1994 it accounted for
53.8% of the GDP, while in 1999 it totalled 72.5% of the GDP. ·
As of June
30, 2001, external debt of Ukraine was estimated at USD7.75 billion. Loan
agreements are formed on governmental level, and the governments are
supposed to bear prime responsibility for the loan repayment. However,
the resources needed to repay the loans are always allocated from
consolidated funds, which are public resources in fact.
Therefore, the burden of loan repayment is actually borne by the
country residents who pay taxes to the budget. Debt restructuring
agreements, as a rule, offer no remedy for the debt-related problems,
but only provide some delays in payments thereby passing the burden of
debts to the generations to come, while total amounts of payments
increase with time through accumulation of interest on the loans. External
debt repayment in the NIS is associated with growing internal debts. ·
In Ukraine,
for instance, the external debt has contracted by USD250 million for
the last six months (and now equals USD7.75 billion according to the
last estimates) while the internal debt has increased by USD2.8
million and now totals USD3.89 million. Back
wages have become a common problem and usual practice. Problems
related to back wages are particularly acute now in Baltic states,
Russia, Ukraine, and all economies of Central Asian region. ·
As of July
10, back wages in Ukraine estimated for all sectors of the national
economy on the whole have totalled USD784 million. ·
Back wages
in Russia were estimated at USD1.13 billion as of March 2001. Wage
arrears that may be reasonably considered a direct violation of human
rights account for the growing poverty among the population,
restriction of public access to the common public goods and benefits,
devaluation of social importance of professional labour and,
eventually, in the lack of civil society confidence in the government. ·
Economic
sectors with the highest proportions of women's labour (textile
industry, medical services, educational sector) show the highest
unemployment rates. ·
Unemployed
women have less chance to find a job than
unemployed men. ·
Despite the
relatively higher education, women have largely been forced out of the
market of stable and well-paid jobs. ·
Women of the
most active age category (30 to 49 years of age) having a special
professional education comprise the majority of street merchants. ·
The
proportion of women in business is by far lower than that for men.
Normally, women willing to start up their business are short of
start-up capital and protection of the top of power. Businesswomen who
had to quit their businesses report having serious problems trying to
keep afloat in the extremely corrupt environment of the transitional
economy. ·
Female
workers dominate among those employed in the subsidiary farming sector
poorly supplied with machinery and equipment though accounting for 1/3
of the average household income at present. ·
Women have to
spend much time hunting the cheapest foodstuffs. On average, each
woman carries loads of 3 to 4 kilograms per day that amount to 1000
kilogram per year. ·
Women cannot
afford many consumer services, as they are too expensive for them.
Only 2% of women report using laundry service; only 6% use dry
cleaning service; and only 6% can afford buying convenience foodstuffs.
This actually means that virtually all household work is being done by
women. ·
Social
benefits for women having children and for disabled and retired women
are by far lower than the official survival minimum level. ·
The
proportion of female public servants in the top government bodies is
very limited that provides no means for their participation in
economically important decision making process. To
secure the fundamentals of democracy and gender equality being
implemented in the external and internal debt management practices,
the following recommendations may be proposed: ·
A scope of
authority of the government must be clearly identified and supported
by the relevant legal provisions. ·
Every loan
agreement of the government must be made transparent for the civil
society. To secure this transparency, the government needs to specify
and implement effective mechanisms of public participation in the
decision-making process, as well as put in place adequate reporting
procedures to keep the taxpayers informed on the decisions. ·
Debt
restructuring agreements may be formed only based on civil society
awareness of and agreement on them. ·
The
government should make allowance for possible social and gender
impacts of the loan agreements. ·
The
government must form an inter-sector agency with a fair representation
of women that will be in charge of current matters of the governmental
debt management process. The
Fact Sheet was produced by the Liberal Society Institute,
Ukraine: e-mail: kisselyova@ukr.net,
tel.: +380 (44) 277-99-70, tel./fax +380 (44) 229-32-72, with a kind
support from UNIFEM and WEDO.
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